If Labour formed with Lib-Dems, they'd also need all the independants and the greens to get the 65 seats required.
As most of the independant candidates are independant because Labour no longer represents the socialist left, I don't see them agreeing to that. I reckon they're more likely to agree to form with the SNP.
I'm not sure how the Lib-Dems will go, I think they'll probably give in like they did in the first parliament. They vehemently said "We're not forming any colation with Labour unless student loands are scrapped", but then formed anyway. I've never seen them actually stick to a principle or policy, especialy one so hard to justify as "we're not even going to give you the option of deciding".
I think the anti-independance stance comes from the wider, UK Lib-Dems rather than the Scotish branch. But hmm.
As for the economic stuff, I don't think scotland would be fucked up at all. The overall Scottish economy is stable and growing. We'd have a hell of a lot less in the way of costs as independants as there'd be practically no millitary spending etc to deal with, and our payment to Europe would be less too as we'd have a much smaller economy compared to the UK.
We'd almost certainly have to adopt the Euro, though, I reckon that'd be a condition of an independant scotland joining europe. But that's going to happen to the UK eventually anyway, if not the Euro then some other multi-national currency further down the line. |